Accepted Papers

Optimal Long-Term Health Insurance Contracts: Characterization, Computation, and Welfare Effects

1 May 2023

Soheil Ghili, Benjamin Handel, Igal Hendel, and Michael Whinston

Reclassification risk is a major concern in health insurance where contracts are typically one year in length but health shocks often persist for much longer. While most health systems with private insurers pair short-run contracts with substantial pricing regulations to reduce reclassification risk, long-term contracts with one-sided insurer commitment have significant potential to reduce reclassification risk without the negative side effects of price regulation, such as adverse selection.

Mortgage Design and Slow Recoveries. The Role of Recourse and Default.

1 May 2023

Pedro Gete and Franco Zecchetto

We show that mortgage recourse systems, by discouraging default, magnify the impact of nominal rigidities. They cause deeper and more persistent recessions. This mechanism can account for up to 31% of the recovery gap during the Great Recession between the U.S., mostly a non-recourse economy, and Spain, a recourse economy.

Demand and Welfare Analysis in Discrete Choice Models with Social Interactions

27 April 2023

Debopam Bhattacharya, Pascaline Dupas, and Shin Kanaya

Many real-life settings of individual choice involve social interactions, causing targeted policies to have spillover effects. This paper develops novel empirical tools for analyzing demand and welfare effects of policy interventions in binary choice settings with social interactions.

Income growth and the distributional effects of urban spatial sorting

19 April 2023

Victor Couture, Cécile Gaubert, Jessie Handbury, and Erik Hurst

We explore the impact of rising incomes at the top of the distribution on spatial sorting patterns within large U.S. cities. We develop and quantify a spatial model of a city with heterogeneous agents and non-homothetic preferences for neighborhoods with endogenous amenity quality.

Fair Matching under Constraints: Theory and Applications

17 April 2023

Yuichiro Kamada and Fuhito Kojima

This paper studies a general model of matching with constraints. Observing that a stable matching typically does not exist, we focus on feasible, individually rational, and fair matchings. We characterize such matchings by fixed points of a certain function.

Diversity in Schools: Immigrants and the Educational Performance of U.S.-Born Students

17 April 2023

David Figlio, Paola Giuliano, Riccardo Marchingiglio, Umut Ozek, and Paola Sapienza

We study the effect of exposure to immigrants on the educational outcomes of U.S.-born students, using a unique dataset combining population-level birth and school records from Florida. This research question is complicated by substantial school selection of U.S.-born students, especially among White and comparatively affluent students, in response to the presence of immigrant students in the school.

The 2000s Housing Cycle With 2020 Hindsight: A Neo-Kindlebergerian View

12 April 2023

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Adam M. Guren, and Timothy J. McQuade

With “2020 hindsight,” the 2000s housing cycle is not a boom-bust but a boom-bust- rebound. Using a spatial equilibrium regression in which house prices are determined by income, amenities, urbanization, and supply, we show that long-run city-level fundamentals predict not only 1997-2019 price and rent growth but also the amplitude of the boom-bust-rebound.

The Value of Data Records

5 April 2023

Simone Galperti, Jacopo Perego, and Aleksandr Levkun

Many e-commerce platforms use buyers’ personal data to intermediate their transactions with sellers. How much value do such intermediaries derive from the data record of each single individual?

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New paper by Lee:

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Manager pay and pay inequality have increased substantially since the 1980s. Manager pay reflect that managers increase the firm’s productivity which in turn affects market power.

New paper by @jan_eeckhout, Bao, and De Loecker

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Uniform asymptotic theory for local projections with unknown/infinite lag order. LPs can achieve semiparametric efficiency and support robust IRF inference.

New paper by Xu:

https://www.restud.com/local-projection-based-inference-under-general-conditions/

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Monopsony power makes productive firms decide to stay small, hurting aggregate productivity. More strongly size-dependent wages in East Germany explain a third of the difference to the West.

New paper by @BachmannRudi, @christianbaye13, Stüber, and Wellschmied

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