Accepted Papers

Inference for Linear Conditional Moment Inequalities

13 January 2023

Isaiah Andrews, Jonathan Roth, and Ariel Pakes

We show that moment inequalities in a wide variety of economic applications have a particular linear conditional structure.

Retraction of: Growing up in a Recession

11 January 2023

This is a retraction of: Paola Giuliano, Antonio Spilimbergo, Growing up in a Recession, The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 81, Issue 2, April 2014, Pages 787–817.

Social Positions and Fairness Views on Inequality

5 January 2023

Kristoffer B. Hvidberg, Claus T. Kreiner, and Stefanie Stantcheva

We link survey data on Danish people’s perceived income positions and fairness views on inequality within various reference groups to administrative records on their reference groups, income histories, and life events. People are, on average, well-informed about the income levels of their reference groups.

A More Credible Approach to Parallel Trends

5 January 2023

Ashesh Rambachan and Jonathan Roth

This paper proposes tools for robust inference in difference-in-differences and event- study designs where the parallel trends assumption may be violated.

Bond Premium Cyclicality and Liquidity Traps

4 January 2023

Nicolas Caramp and Sanjay R. Singh

Safe asset shortages can expose an economy to liquidity traps. The nature of these traps is determined by the cyclicality of the bond premium. A counter-cyclical bond premium opens the possibility of expectations-driven liquidity traps in which small issuances of government debt crowd out private debt and reduce output.

Testing the Production Approach to Markup Estimation

4 January 2023

Devesh Raval

Under the production approach to markup estimation, any flexible input should recover the markup. I test this implication using manufacturing datasets from Chile, Colombia, India, Indonesia, the US, and Southern Europe, as well as store-level data from a major US retailer, and overwhelmingly reject that markups estimated using labor and materials have the same distribution.

A Welfare Analysis of Occupational Licensing in U.S. States

21 December 2022

Morris M. Kleiner and Evan J. Soltas

We assess the welfare consequences of occupational licensing for workers and consumers. We estimate a model of labor market equilibrium in which licensing restricts labor supply but also affects labor demand via worker quality and selection.

A Network Solution to Robust Implementation: the Case of Identical but Unknown Distributions

19 December 2022

Mariann Ollár and Antonio Penta

We study robust mechanism design in environments in which agents commonly believe that others’ types are identically distributed, but we do not assume that the actual distribution is common knowledge, nor that it is known to the designer.