Accepted Papers

Testing the Production Approach to Markup Estimation

4 January 2023

Devesh Raval

Under the production approach to markup estimation, any flexible input should recover the markup. I test this implication using manufacturing datasets from Chile, Colombia, India, Indonesia, the US, and Southern Europe, as well as store-level data from a major US retailer, and overwhelmingly reject that markups estimated using labor and materials have the same distribution.

A Welfare Analysis of Occupational Licensing in U.S. States

21 December 2022

Morris M. Kleiner and Evan J. Soltas

We assess the welfare consequences of occupational licensing for workers and consumers. We estimate a model of labor market equilibrium in which licensing restricts labor supply but also affects labor demand via worker quality and selection.

A Network Solution to Robust Implementation: the Case of Identical but Unknown Distributions

19 December 2022

Mariann Ollár and Antonio Penta

We study robust mechanism design in environments in which agents commonly believe that others’ types are identically distributed, but we do not assume that the actual distribution is common knowledge, nor that it is known to the designer.

More than a Penny’s Worth: Left-Digit Bias and Firm Pricing

13 December 2022

Avner Strulov-Shlain, University of Chicago, Booth School of Business

Firms arguably price at 99-ending prices because of left-digit bias—the tendency of consumers to perceive a $4.99 as much lower than a $5.00. Analysis of retail scanner data on 3500 products sold by 25 US chains provides robust support for this explanation.

Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization

12 December 2022

Rohan Kekre, Chicago Booth and NBER

I study unemployment insurance (UI) in general equilibrium with incomplete markets, search frictions, and nominal rigidities.

Stratification Trees for Adaptive Randomization in Randomized Controlled Trials

12 December 2022

Max Tabord-Meehan, University of Chicago

This paper proposes an adaptive randomization procedure for two-stage randomized controlled trials. The method uses data from a first-wave experiment in order to determine how to stratify in a second wave of the experiment, where the objective is to minimize the variance of an estimator for the average treatment effect (ATE).

Save, Spend or Give? A Model of Housing, Family Insurance, and Savings in Old Age

12 December 2022

Daniel Barczyk, Sean Fahle, and Matthias Kredler

How do housing and family shape the savings, spending, and inter-generational transfer behavior of the elderly?

Hazed and Confused: The Effect of Air Pollution on Dementia

4 December 2022

Kelly C. Bishop, Jonathan D. Ketcham, and Nicolai V. Kuminoff

We study whether long-term cumulative exposure to airborne small particulate matter (PM2.5) affects the probability that an individual receives a new diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease or related dementias.

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Supply-side climate policies in the oil market: Higher taxes reduce exploration and discoveries. If only OECD countries adopt this policy, 47–73% is offset by non-OECD countries.

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"A new theory on how regional shocks affect aggregate welfare—applied to US highway network improvements—unpacking how and why it deviates from the Fogel/Hulten characterization."

New paper by @MiyauchiYuhei, @EricDonald, & Fukui:

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Testing the Production Approach to Markup Estimation

A Welfare Analysis of Occupational Licensing in U.S. States

A Network Solution to Robust Implementation: the Case of Identical but Unknown Distributions

More than a Penny’s Worth: Left-Digit Bias and Firm Pricing

Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization

Stratification Trees for Adaptive Randomization in Randomized Controlled Trials

Save, Spend or Give? A Model of Housing, Family Insurance, and Savings in Old Age

Hazed and Confused: The Effect of Air Pollution on Dementia

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