Accepted Papers

A Theory of Falling Growth and Rising Rents

9 February 2023

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart, Peter J. Klenow, and Huiyu Li

Growth has fallen in the U.S. amid a rise in firm concentration. Market share has shifted to low labor share firms, while within-firm labor shares have actually risen.

Risk Classification in Insurance Markets with Risk and Preference Heterogeneity

9 February 2023

Vitor Farinha Luz, Piero Gottardi, and Humberto Moreira

This paper studies a competitive model of insurance markets in which consumers are privately informed about their risk and risk preferences. We provide a characterization of the equilibria, which depend non-trivially on consumers’ type distribution, a desirable feature for policy analysis.

Left-Digit Bias at Lyft

8 February 2023

John A. List, Ian Muir, Devin Pope, and Gregory Sun

Left-digit bias (or 99-cent pricing) has been discussed extensively in economics, psychology, and marketing. Despite this, we show that the rideshare company, Lyft, was not using a 99-cent pricing strategy prior to our study.

The Lost Capital Asset Pricing Model

8 February 2023

Daniel Andrei, Julien Cujean, and Mungo Wilson

We provide a novel explanation for the empirical failure of the CAPM despite its widespread practical use. In a rational-expectations economy in which information is dispersed, variation in expected returns over time and across investors creates an informational gap between investors and the empiricist.

The Effects of Partial Employment Protection Reforms: Evidence from Italy

5 February 2023

Diego Daruich, Sabrina Di Addario, and Raffaele Saggio

We combine matched employer-employee data with firms’ financial records to study a 2001 Italian reform that lifted constraints on the employment of temporary contract workers while maintaining rigid employment protection regulations for employees hired under permanent contracts.

Regional Consumption Responses and the Aggregate Fiscal Multiplier

5 February 2023

Bill Dupor, Marios Karabarbounis, Marianna Kudlyak, and M. Saif Mehkari

We use regional variation in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (2009-2012) to analyze the effect of government spending on consumer spending.

Down the River: Glyphosate Use in Agriculture and Birth Outcomes of Surrounding Populations

30 January 2023

Mateus Dias, Rudi Rocha, and Rodrigo R. Soares

This paper documents an externality from the agricultural use of the most widely applied herbicide in the world—glyphosate—on birth outcomes of surrounding populations.

Central Bank Balance Sheet Policies Without Rational Expectations

30 January 2023

Luigi Iovino and Dmitriy Sergeyev

We study the effects of central bank balance sheet policies—namely, quantitative easing and foreign exchange interventions—in a model where people form expectations through an iterative level-k thinking process.

The Review of Economic Studies Follow

The official account of the Review of Economic Studies, one of the world's top economics journals.

Recently accepted to #REStud, "Revisiting the Non-Parametric Analysis of Time-Inconsistent Preferences," from Echenique and Tserenjigmid:

https://www.restud.com/revisiting-the-non-parametric-analysis-of-time-inconsistent-preferences/

#econtwitter

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Recently accepted to #REStud, "Overconfidence and Prejudice," from Heidhues, Kőszegi and Strack:

https://www.restud.com/overconfidence-and-prejudice/

#econtwitter

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"Can communities sustain cooperation when players can add or erase signals from their records?
Sufficiently long-lived players can hardly sustain any cooperation, but players w/ intermediate lifespans can sustain some cooperation."

From @harry_toulouse:

https://www.restud.com/community-enforcement-with-endogenous-records/

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Recently accepted to #REStud, "Behavioral Causal Inference," from Ran Spiegler:

https://www.restud.com/behavioral-causal-inference/

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