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Labor Market Screening and the Design of Social Insurance: An Equilibrium Analysis of the Labor Market for the Disabled

11 February 2024

Naoki Aizawa, Soojin Kim, and Serena Rhee

This paper studies how firms’ screening incentives in the labor market affect the optimal design of social insurance programs and quantitatively assesses the U.S. disability policies accounting for firms’ screening of the disabled. We develop an equilibrium search model where workers with different productivities have heterogeneous preferences over non-wage benefits and firms cannot offer an employment contract that explicitly depends on worker types.

Optimal Allocation via Waitlists: Simplicity through Information Design

30 January 2024

Itai Ashlagi, Faidra Monachou, and Afshin Nikzad

We study nonmonetary markets where objects that arrive over time are allocated to unitdemand agents with private types, such as in the allocation of public housing or deceased-donor organs. An agent’s value for an object is supermodular in her type and the object quality, and her payoff is her value minus her waiting cost. The social planner’s objective is a weighted sum of allocative efficiency (i.e., the sum of values) and welfare (i.e., the sum of payoffs).

A Dynamic Model of Input-Output Networks

28 January 2024

Ernest Liu and Aleh Tsyvinski

We develop a dynamic model of input-output networks that incorporates adjustment costs of changing inputs. Our closed-form solution for the dynamics of the economy shows that temporary shocks to upstream sectors, whose output travels through long supply chains, have disproportionately significant welfare impact compared to affected sectors’ Domar weights.

The Work-From-Home Technology Boon and its Consequences

28 January 2024

Morris A. Davis, Andra C. Ghent, and Jesse Gregory

We study the impact of widespread adoption of work-from-home (WFH) technology using an equilibrium model where people choose where to live, how to allocate their time between working at home and at the office, and how much space to use in production. Motivated by cross-sectional evidence on WFH, we model WFH as a complement to work at the office.

The Climate in Climate Economics

21 January 2024

Doris Folini, Aleksandra Friedl, Felix Kübler, and Simon Scheidegger

To analyze climate change mitigation strategies, economists rely on simplified climate models — so-called climate emulators — that provide a realistic quantitative link between CO2 emissions and global warming at low computational costs. In this paper, we propose a generic and transparent calibration and evaluation strategy for these climate emulators that is based on freely and easily accessible state-of-the-art benchmark data from climate sciences. We demonstrate that the appropriate choice of the free model parameters can be of key relevance for the predicted social cost of carbon.

Marriage Market and Labor Market Sorting

21 January 2024

Paula Calvo, Ilse Lindenlaub, and Ana Reynoso

We develop a new equilibrium model in which households’ labor supply choices form the link between sorting on the marriage market and sorting on the labor market. We first show that in theory, the nature of home production—whether partners’ hours are complements or substitutes—shapes equilibrium labor supply as well as marriage and labor market sorting. We then estimate our model using German data to empirically assess the nature of home production, and find that spouses’ home hours are complements.

Information Aggregation Under Ambiguity: Theory and Experimental Evidence

16 January 2024

Spyros Galanis, Christos A. Ioannou, and Stelios Kotronis

We study information aggregation in a dynamic trading model. We show theoretically that separable securities, introduced by Ostrovsky (2012) in the context of Expected Utility, no longer aggregate information if some traders have imprecise beliefs and are ambiguity averse. Moreover, these securities are prone to manipulation as the degree of information aggregation can be influenced by the initial price set by the uninformed market maker.

Stability in Large Markets

16 January 2024

Ravi Jagadeesan and Karolina Vocke

In matching models, pairwise stable outcomes do not generally exist without substantial restrictions on both preferences and the topology of the network of contracts. We address the foundations of matching markets by developing a matching model with a continuum of agents that allows for arbitrary preferences and network structures. We show that pairwise stable outcomes are guaranteed to exist.

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