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A Temporary VAT Cut as Unconventional Fiscal Policy

5 June 2026

Ruediger Bachmann, Benjamin Born, Olga Goldfayn-Frank, Georgi Kocharkov, Ralph Luetticke, and Michael Weber

We exploit Germany’s temporary three-percentage-point VAT cut in the second half of 2020 to study the spending response to unconventional fiscal policy. We use survey and scanner data on household consumption expenditures and their perceived pass-through of the tax change into prices, and a HANK model to quantify the effects of this VAT policy.

New

Competing under Information Heterogeneity: Evidence from Auto Insurance

5 June 2026

Marco Cosconati, Yi Xin, Fan Wu, and Yizhou Jin

This paper studies competition under information heterogeneity in selection markets and examines the impact of public information regulations aimed at reducing information asymmetries between competing firms. We develop a novel model and introduce new empirical strategies to analyze imperfect competition in markets where firms have heterogeneous information about consumers, vary in cost structures, and offer differentiated products.

New

Income Inequality and Job Creation

31 May 2026

Sebastian Doerr, Thomas Drechsel, and Donggyu Lee

We propose a novel channel through which rising income inequality affects job creation and macroeconomic outcomes. High-income households save relatively more in stocks and bonds but less in bank deposits. A rising top income share thereby increases the relative financing cost for bank-dependent firms, which in turn create fewer jobs compared to other firms.

New

Liquidity Traps, Prudential Policies and International Spillovers

31 May 2026

Javier Bianchi and Louphou Coulibaly

We investigate optimal monetary and macroprudential policies in an open economy with aggregate demand externalities and an occasionally binding zero lower bound constraint. Our analysis highlights that the optimal policy balances output stabilization and capital flow management. When macroprudential policy is available, monetary policy stabilizes the output gap.

New

Pigovian Transport Pricing in Practice

19 May 2026

Beat Hintermann, Beaumont Schoeman, Joseph Molloy, Thomas Götschi, Alberto Castro, Christopher Tchervenkov, Uros Tomic, and Kay W. Axhausen

We implement Pigovian transport pricing in a field experiment in urban agglomerations of Switzerland over the course of 8 weeks. Our pricing considers the external costs from climate damages, health outcomes from pollution, accidents and physical activity, and congestion. It varies across time, space and mode of transport and is deducted from a budget provided to GPS-tracked participants.

New

The Architecture of Social Networks and the Diffusion of Innovations

19 May 2026

Bryony Reich

For many technologies and behaviors, an agent’s benefit from adopting depends on his contacts adopting, and the benefit to his contacts of adopting depends on their contacts adopting. This paper examines how the architecture of these connections shapes the success or failure of the diffusion of innovations. We start with a standard model of diffusion with the key addition that some agents can coordinate their decisions. This captures the idea that people often talk and make decisions together with friends or family to adopt technologies.

New

Closing Gender Gaps Through Workplace Diversity: The Intergenerational Effects of World War I

15 May 2026

Abhay Aneja, Silvia Farina, and Guo Xu

This paper combines personnel records of the U.S. government with census data to study how exposure to greater female representation at work can persistently reduce intergenerational gender gaps in labor market outcomes. Exploiting city-by-department variation in the sudden expansion of female employment during World War I, we find that daughters of civil servants exposed to female co-workers are more likely to work later in life.

New

The Dynamics of Internal Migration: A New Fact and its Implications

15 May 2026

Greg Howard and Hansen Shao

We propose a new model of internal migration, based on persistent and spatially-correlated idiosyncratic utility. The model is motivated by a new fact in the data that simple moving cost models struggle to match: the t-year interstate migration rate is proportional to the square root of t.

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