Tariffs will lead to more immigration.
Why?
Because tariffs reduce wages on the other side of the border and evidence from @RevEconStudies shows that "a 10% increase in Mexican wages reduces migration rates and durations"
Fantastic to see Hanno‘s original JM paper finally in print. Very interesting work on how alimony payments affect incentives to work of ex-spouses and what this means for welfare. Congratulations, Hanno. Very proud of you!