Accepted Papers

More than a Penny’s Worth: Left-Digit Bias and Firm Pricing

13 December 2022

Avner Strulov-Shlain, University of Chicago, Booth School of Business

Firms arguably price at 99-ending prices because of left-digit bias—the tendency of consumers to perceive a $4.99 as much lower than a $5.00. Analysis of retail scanner data on 3500 products sold by 25 US chains provides robust support for this explanation.

Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization

12 December 2022

Rohan Kekre, Chicago Booth and NBER

I study unemployment insurance (UI) in general equilibrium with incomplete markets, search frictions, and nominal rigidities.

Stratification Trees for Adaptive Randomization in Randomized Controlled Trials

12 December 2022

Max Tabord-Meehan, University of Chicago

This paper proposes an adaptive randomization procedure for two-stage randomized controlled trials. The method uses data from a first-wave experiment in order to determine how to stratify in a second wave of the experiment, where the objective is to minimize the variance of an estimator for the average treatment effect (ATE).

Save, Spend or Give? A Model of Housing, Family Insurance, and Savings in Old Age

12 December 2022

Daniel Barczyk, Sean Fahle, and Matthias Kredler

How do housing and family shape the savings, spending, and inter-generational transfer behavior of the elderly?

Hazed and Confused: The Effect of Air Pollution on Dementia

4 December 2022

Kelly C. Bishop, Jonathan D. Ketcham, and Nicolai V. Kuminoff

We study whether long-term cumulative exposure to airborne small particulate matter (PM2.5) affects the probability that an individual receives a new diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease or related dementias.

“Since You’re So Rich, You Must Be Really Smart”: Talent, Rent Sharing, and the Finance Wage Premium

4 December 2022

Michael J. Böhm, Daniel Metzger, and Per Strömberg

Financial sector wages have increased extraordinarily over the last decades. We address two potential explanations for this increase: (1) rising demand for talent and (2) firms sharing rents with their employees.

Learning from Neighbors about a Changing State

9 November 2022

Krishna Dasaratha, Benjamin Golub, and Nir Hak

Agents learn about a changing state using private signals and their neighbors’ past estimates of the state. We present a model in which Bayesian agents in equilibrium use neighbors’ estimates simply by taking weighted sums with time-invariant weights.

Robots, Trade, and Luddism: A Sufficient Statistic Approach to Optimal Technology Regulation

30 October 2022

Arnaud Costinot and Ivan Werning

Technological change, from the advent of robots to expanded trade opportunities, creates winners and losers. How should government policy respond?

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Under Smooth Diagnostic Expectations overreaction increases smoothly with uncertainty, providing a micro-foundation for key properties of survey data and the business cycle.

New paper by @Francesco_Bia, @CosminIlut, and @hpfilter

https://www.restud.com/smooth-diagnostic-expectations/

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New paper by Kwak

https://www.restud.com/when-is-separate-sales-optimal/

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New paper by Kaila:

https://www.restud.com/how-do-people-react-to-income-based-fines-evidence-from-speeding-tickets-discontinuities/

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The UK’s post-1963 Robbins Report university boom brought in less able students from advantaged backgrounds. Future expansions should target talented students facing socioeconomic barriers.

New paper by Ichino, Rustichini, and @giulio_zanella:

https://www.restud.com/college-cognitive-ability-and-socioeconomic-disadvantage-policy-lessons-from-the-uk-in-1960-2004/

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More than a Penny’s Worth: Left-Digit Bias and Firm Pricing

Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization

Stratification Trees for Adaptive Randomization in Randomized Controlled Trials

Save, Spend or Give? A Model of Housing, Family Insurance, and Savings in Old Age

Hazed and Confused: The Effect of Air Pollution on Dementia

“Since You’re So Rich, You Must Be Really Smart”: Talent, Rent Sharing, and the Finance Wage Premium

Learning from Neighbors about a Changing State

Robots, Trade, and Luddism: A Sufficient Statistic Approach to Optimal Technology Regulation

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